The Ike and Mike Experiment in Fairness

Okay, here’s the deal.  I have ten dollars ($10).  I’m going to pair you with someone you don’t know - call you Ike and Mike for lack of a better name.  I’m going to give the other person the $10 and tell them they have to share it with you but . . . They will write the amount they’ll give you on a piece of paper and hand it to you.  You can accept or reject the amount.  If you reject it, neither of you gets anything.  If you accept it, the money is yours.  But they can only make one offer, there’s no negotiating, not give and take.

Your partner writes $1.

Do you accept or reject it?

Your partner writes $2. 

Do you accept or reject it?

Your partner writes $3.

Do you accept or reject it?

Your partner writes $4.

Do you accept or reject it?

Now your partner writes $5

Do you accept or reject it?

Robert Reich recorded this experiment and his admittedly unscientific findings in Reason.  The results he reported were amazingly consistent across time -

. . . . almost without exception, the person receiving the offer rejected any amount less than $4, and often rejected even the $4  deal.  It doesn’t matter how much you get you’re getting something you didn’t have before (even if it is a dollar it’s a dollar you didn’t have before and didn’t have to earn).  But, among Reich’s participants (students in his classes) the outcome has been consistent.

From this experiment, Reich concluded that fairness is as much about perception as anything else.  Reich reflects on the economics implications of the experiment, especially with regard to tax policies.

As we head into the orgy of consumerism known as the holiday season, as we find ourselves confronted with depressingly cheerful red and green and white sweaters emblazoned with santas, and trees and snowmen, the issue of fairness seems distant.  Years ago, I read a report saying the average American household would run up something like $2000 in debt during December.  I’m confident the amount of debt incurred has increased in the intervening years.

The end of year purchases many people make are rooted, I think, in a lack of perceived fairness, the lack of equal distribution of goods.  I know it sounds whacked, but follow me if you can.

Many parents will buy their children presents so their children can at least appear to have the same objects as their peers.  These objects may include toys, phones, iPods and clothing.  The hope is that their children will not stand out in a negative way from the crowd.  Notice, that no one shies away from having more and better than their peers, they do shy away from having less than or worse than their peers.  Such social pressures will drive many parents into debt they probably cannot afford at this time. 

The concept of price and cost are separate.  A price is the dollar value affixed to an item; cost is actual economic cost of purchasing and owning and item.  A car has a price; but it’s cost includes things like gas, insurance, maintenance and parking.  The real cost of Christmas isn’t the price of toys, it is the price of carrying debt, of fitting or not fitting in, of perceiving one’s self to be equal or less than equal to one’s peers.  In our consumer society, objects signify wealth and worth.  If we have good stuff, we’re more worthy.  People will struggle financially to appear wealthy and therefore worthy.

The success of WalMart lies not in its ability to strong arm its suppliers into selling goods for far less, but in its ability to provide many people with the objects necessary to affirm worth.  A $29 DVD player (a few Christmases ago on Black Friday people were trampled trying to buy such objects) isn’t a good deal because its $29 dollars; it’s perceived as a good deal because it allows someone who cannot afford a $290 dvd player to appear as if they can, to have the same as those who are wealthier and thus who are perceived as more worthy.

A friend of mine likes to say “Live simply, that others may simply live.”  I don’t disagree with that but I think it represents a conclusion to a conversation we as a society have not yet had. 

Let me put it a hypothetic.  Would you accept a cap on incomes, say $500,000 per year, in exchange for a guaranteed minimum income of say $50,000 a year?  In other words, anyone who made more than $500,000 per year would turn over any excess to the government in the form of taxes.  Anyone who made less than $50,000 would receive the difference in the form of assistance.  Would you agree to a 10% tax increase to provide a guaranteed minimum level of health care? 

The issue of fairness is complicated.  Many of us imagine that some day we’ll be millionaires and we’re afraid a cap on incomes would negatively affect us at that time.  However, most of us would definitely benefit from a guaranteed minimum income at some point in our lives.  The same goes for health care.  Some of us (for instance me) pay less in insurance premiums than a 10%  in my taxes (I get a good deal because I’m single, exercise regularly, don’t smoke and so forth).  But, my employer would benefit from such a system - if their portion of taxes on my income were to increase 10%, but they didn’t have to pay their portion of my insurance, they would be better off.  My coworkers with families would definitely benefit as their tax increase would be less than what they pay for insurance premiums.  The fairness outcome, however, is located not in the amount paid but in the guarantee of health care.  Removing uncertainty about health care for everyone reduces overall unfairness and it’s something I think most Americans support.  The price is paid in tax increases, but the cost is actually quite low.

The conversation we as a society are not having is a conversation about fairness.  Paris Hilton’s ability to make millions by being Paris Hilton is an outcome of a society which unfairly allocates economic resources and has supporting rising and radical economic inequality.  It benefits the Paris Hiltons while putting an increasing squeeze on the middle and working class.  Paris Hilton would still be richer than 99% of Americans if she had to pay a 50% inheritance tax and 70% income tax and would still be guaranteed better access to health care and so forth.  Fairness isn’t located in the percent of income one pays in taxes, but in ones ability to pay those taxes.  A 70% income tax on millionaires sounds unfair until you consider, a million dollar income with a 70% tax rate still leaves that person with $300,000 in disposable after tax income - something like 5 times the median household income in Utah.  And yet one of our major political parties wants to guarantee Paris Hilton pays the same in tax rate as the median household in Utah.  And to give you a hint, the name of that party starts with “R”.

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6 Responses to “The Ike and Mike Experiment in Fairness”

  1. glenn Says:

    If you have any brains, you only accept or offer the 10 dollars, then you split it, and spend it immediately. An intelligent person knows that it is the people that control economy, and if you are playing it with fiat printed currency, well then, you are pretty dull monkey. It appears that Americans are as dumb as a coon with his hand around the shiny bauble of the coon trap. The bankers are on the way with their club, to bash our brains out for the stew pot.
    Better let go. A coons nature will not allow it, will ours?

    Of course there is buying whatever you want and defaulting, which is what America appears to be doing now. The money will devalue, and the whole merry go round comes to the inevitable end, in awaits of re-structuring. Usually facilitates a big old war to straighten things out. I think we are seeing that.

    Guaranteed income and such would hand entire control of your economics to the government. It is obvious how successful they are spending our money.(those in power believe it theirs).

    We have been there under crown mercantile economy, and it is how we became a free nation in throwing off the yoke. Such concepts are utterly regressive in the pursuit of Life Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness. Guaranteed income was a concept that permeated Soviet block planned economies, is such a thing what you are suggesting Glendon?

    If Paris makes her money off an idiotic populous is it her fault? Any intelligent group would reject her silly life. Should not the idiotic populous make some effort to save itself through the identification of self interest and education? A little difficult when your kids test in 30th @#$%^&* PLACE in international competency testing…, and the best the progressive community can come up with is to stay with the old nag they rode in on.

    How are we to improve in any way with such a populous and structure that does not facilitate reality based learning? Are we to rely on a well intentioned elite? Puhleeease, by now.

    Totally dumb experiment, apart from describing the limited view of rich( reich in German) and his entirely useless concepts of economy.

    Inheritance tax is just giving the money to another group of monkeys, not your family, that may do no better things with it than an indulged child. We don’t end up with unfunded federal, state, and personal liabilities, numbering in the 10 of trillions of dollars by responsible fiscal management. Though I agree that we need people to make their own fortunes, I would be more interested in making a law that we destroy the leftover money, so NO ONE gets it. That way there would be no incentive from any quarter to over produce.

  2. Richard Warnick Says:

    Raised in a Catholic household, I still subscribe to the “workers in the vineyard” ethic. Who cares what someone else gets, when you are getting your fair share or more?

    I realize some variations on Christianity place more emphasis on greed, especially when you have the Calvinist idea that the “elect” are going to Heaven no matter what they do in their lives, and the status symbols of wealth matter because they signify that one is a member of the “elect.” Maybe the Calvinists are right, and they’ll party with Paris Hilton when they die. Not necessarily my idea of fun, but to each his own.

  3. Misty Fowler Says:

    And yet one of our major political parties wants to guarantee Paris Hilton pays the same in tax rate as the median household in Utah. And to give you a hint, the name of that party starts with “R”.

    I’m not sure exactly what you’re talking about. The GOP wants Paris to pay a lower rate that I pay. The Dems want Paris to pay the same rate I pay.

    Why should Paris be taxed any lower or higher than I am?

  4. glenn Says:

    The real question is why should be any taxes at all other than consumption taxes.

    If this is a capitalist economy then taxing income is a dis-incentive to work, or an incentive to evade if you make too much. Consumption tax offers up the taxes at the point of consumption, not at the point of earning.

    Who benefits most from no consumption taxes? If we wish to save the environment this would be a pretty question to find the answer to. If increased consumption is the cause of ills such as warming or generalized pollution and degradation of resource and environ, consumption control would be the greatest of virtues, but it isn’t run like that, is it? So who benefits, and the predator will be known. Maybe it is us.

  5. Caveat Says:

    As far as I can see, nowhere is the issue raised; ‘just what, besides accepting the ten-spot is to be required of the recipient?’ So…it is essentially free money!

    I would take all of the ten dollars, offer it to Mike with some goofy stipulation about further similar offers and be on with my business. Give everyone their short shot at wealth. Or…

    Another approach that has worked for me in the past is to tell you to keep your money, since you so obviously give it more value than I.

    Still another is to leave the ‘tenner’ on an empty bus-stop bench and observe from a safe distance just what becomes of it.

    It also seems to me that were someone able to generate such money as to exceed the limit, having to give it up would be a disincentive to even extending that effort. Contrarily; a person who can’t for some reason achieve even the bottom threshold, knowing that his shortfall would be made up by a pool of money from gracious overachievers, that too would be a disincentive to putting out even that effort of which he or she is capable. Now where does that nonsensicle equating tend to direct us? Paris or Dick are ‘better’ because they have more money? Gandhi or Johnny Appleseed were ‘worse’ because the had little. That’s silly talk!

    Therefore, I suggest we not even talk in these terms, that instead, we say that everytime we give something, anything, away, it becomes MORE valuable. That shift in valuing would take care of the greed factor, create vast and sufficient wealth, enable generousity, a sense of abundance and end the growing divide between the haves and the have-nots.

    What do you say? Can I get a witness?

  6. glenn Says:

    True, except for money, in the end it is only medium, and has no real intrinsic value, except to the people that create it.

    It is the manipulation of needs based on money as the means of exchange, that is creating the void between haves and have nots to a large degree. There is plenty of stuff…

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