Afghanistan Front-Page News

I usually like to highlight little-noticed news items. Today we have big news about Afghanistan that’s everywhere, and probably everyone has seen it– but I don’t want to feel like I’m ignoring it.

First, October 2009 is officially the deadliest month in Afghanistan for the United States since our invasion eight years ago. The latest deaths bring to 55 the total number of American troops killed this month. One of them was Kimble A. Han, 30, of Lehi. The previous monthly record was last August, when 51 U.S. soldiers died.

Second, we’re told that President Obama will announce his reassessment of Afghanistan-Pakistan strategy within two weeks. Probably he’ll announce plans to escalate the war.

Afghanistan alone

Third, we learned that a U.S. diplomat has resigned in order to speak out against the Obama administration’s misplaced emphasis on counterinsurgency.

From Glenn Greenwald:

Matthew Hoh, a former Marine captain with combat experience in Iraq, resigned last month from his position with the Foreign Service, where he was the the senior U.S. civilian in the Taliban-dominated Southern Afghanistan province of Zabul, because he became convinced that our war in that country will not only inevitably fail, but is fueling the very insurgency we are trying to defeat. Hoh’s resignation is remarkable because it entails the sort of career sacrifice in the name of principle that has been so rare over the last decade, but even more so because of the extraordinary four-page letter (PDF) he wrote explaining his reasoning.

Matt Yglesias:

For our case in Afghanistan I think that the key point is that there needs to be some kind of horizon on our presence… I don’t know if that means a chronologically-bound timetable or a political checklist or what, but it’s got to be something. What you don’t want is to get in the situation of saying, basically, that we can’t leave Afghanistan until first we kill everyone who wants us to leave Afghanistan. For a while our Iraq policy was stuck in that loop, and I worry that our Afghanistan policy may veer in that direction.

Glenn Greenwald:

How long are we going to continue to do this? We invade and occupy a country, and then label as “insurgents” or even “terrorists” the people in that country who fight against our invasion and occupation. With the most circular logic imaginable, we then insist that we must remain in order to defeat the “insurgents” and “terrorists” — largely composed of people whose only cause for fighting is our presence in their country. All the while, we clearly exacerbate the very problem we are allegedly attempting to address — Terrorism — by predictably and inevitably increasing anti-American anger and hatred through our occupation, which, no matter the strategy, inevitably entails our killing innocent civilians.

Take action: Write your Member of Congress in support of Rep. Barbara Lee’s bill (H.R. 3699) to prohibit escalation of the war in Afghanistan, and Rep. Jim McGovern’s resolution (H.R. 2404) calling on the defense secretary to outline an exit strategy.

UPDATE: Seymour Hersh explains Obama’s Pentagon problem:

“A lot of people in the Pentagon would like to see him get into trouble,” he said. By leaking information that the commanding officer in Afghanistan, Gen. Stanley McChrystal, says the war would be lost without an additional 40,000 American troops, top brass have put Obama in a no-win situation, Hersh contended.

“If he gives them the extra troops they’re asking for, he loses politically,” Hersh said. “And if he doesn’t give them the troops, he also loses politically.”

The journalist criticized the president for “letting the military do that,” and suggested the only way out was for Obama to stand up to them.

“He’s either going to let the Pentagon run him or he has to run the Pentagon,” Hersh said. If he doesn’t, “this stuff is going to be the ruin of his presidency.”

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  1. #1 by Ken on October 28, 2009 - 4:11 am

    It’s not a coincidence that it is the deadliest month while Obama dithers on the Afghanistan war. He has encouraged the enemy and our troops will suffer because of it.

    The only reason I now lean towards pulling out of Afghanistan is because I do not trust Barack Obama to fight any war. He has shown he either can’t or won’t make important decisions.

    Recently he said he would never but our troops in harms way by rushing a decision. Mr. President they are already in harms way and your failure to make a decision has put them in even more jeopardy.

    So why does Obama need to wait another two weeks to anounce his decision? Oh yeah there are special elections coming up. In other words politics trumps the lives of our troops.

  2. #2 by Richard Warnick on October 28, 2009 - 6:26 am

    The Bush administration dithered from 2001 to 2008 without ever coming up with an exit strategy. Bush appointee Hamid Karzai has not established a legitimate government.

    Ken is right. The lives of our soldiers are precious, and we know that casualties will mount if we send more. It’s essential to know what if anything America will get in exchange for so much sacrifice.

  3. #3 by Ken on October 28, 2009 - 9:04 am

    Richard

    You are right Bush did dither for too long. He should have done the surge in both Iraq and Afghanistan from day one. Too bad Rumsfeld didn’t leave the scene years earlier. We could have finished the job years ago.

    Just like they say you either poop or get off the pot. So which will it be Obama?

  4. #4 by Richard Warnick on October 28, 2009 - 12:22 pm

    Ken–

    I love the way you invoke “the surge” as if it’s some kind of Harry Potter magical wizard spell (it’s merely a political slogan). Similarly, some people seem to think counterinsurgency (COIN) is some kind of an all-purpose recipe for success.

    You probably don’t know that the first rule of COIN is don’t do it if there’s any other option (cf. Vietnam).

    You also probably don’t know that COIN doctrine calls for at least one counterinsurgent for every 50 civilians (the few victorious counterinsurgencies in history actually had a 1:20 ratio). That would require 620,000 troops in Iraq and 560,000 in Afghanistan. Where are you going to get them? How are you going to supply them halfway around the world?

    The four U.S. armed services–the Army, the Air Force, the Navy, and the Marines–have a total combined force of about 1.4 million active-duty personnel stationed in at least 39 countries.

    The Army has 548,000 soldiers total. There are 203,000 Marines. A large number of these people are already deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan, returning from Iraq and Afghanistan, or preparing to go to Iraq and Afghanistan.

    And perhaps the biggest problem of all is the tradition of Afghan hostility to foreign occupiers. Andrew Bacevich:

    “It’s impossible to regain the initiative by introducing more foreign forces, which will only breed more resentment and more recruits for the enemy. The Soviets tried the exact same thing in Afghanistan in the 1980s with disastrous results.”

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